H1-H6 Risk Analysis Framework
The Brown Man Bunker monitoring system tracks indicators across six hypothesis categories (H1-H6) that represent potential systemic risks to household stability. Each hypothesis encompasses specific threat vectors that could disrupt normal life patterns.
Monitors: Treasury market volatility, mBridge currency adoption
Risk: Banking crisis, currency devaluation, loss of savings
Impact: Your money becomes inaccessible or worthless, credit freezes, economic collapse
Monitors: Taiwan tensions, Strait of Hormuz shipping risk, military AI deployment
Risk: Supply chain disruption, energy crisis, potential for wider conflict
Impact: Critical goods unavailable, fuel shortages, economic disruption
Monitors: AGI development milestones, labor displacement rates, cyber vulnerabilities
Risk: Mass unemployment, critical infrastructure attacks, social upheaval
Impact: Job obsolescence, system failures, need for new economic models
Monitors: Immigration detention rates, school closures, luxury market collapse
Risk: Civil unrest, community breakdown, increased crime
Impact: Unsafe neighborhoods, disrupted services, need for self-reliance
Monitors: Power grid outages, pharmacy shortages, critical system vulnerabilities
Risk: Essential services offline, medication unavailable, cascading failures
Impact: No power/water/heat, medical emergencies, inability to work
Monitors: Unemployment claims, GDP growth, food inflation
Risk: Job loss, inability to afford basics, recession/depression
Impact: Can't pay bills, food insecurity, housing crisis
When 3 or more indicators reach RED status simultaneously, the system triggers a TIGHTEN-UP alert. This is your signal to implement basic preparedness measures:
Remember: This is not about panic, but prudent preparation. Most alerts will resolve without incident, but being prepared ensures your family's comfort during disruptions.
Based on your preparedness level, you can progress through phases 0-9: